Ginger wrote:
Only if the bombers get through
In order to use the template they have to be within 15cm of the target risking ground AA, and as I have suggested if the opponent has fighters on CAP, the Bombers are likely to lose an A/c...
nealhunt wrote:
Another is that I'd say, overall, the bombers are more durable as an activation because for an opponent that can bring something to bear, a Void Spinner is pretty fragile.
Not sure I would agree there either.
I think you're biasing this comparison pretty heavily. The Phoenixes have lots of defensive options you aren't considering.
Eldar have a ton of deepstrike options that can seriously hinder enemy ground AA. You might make the case this is additional resources committed to making Phoenixes work, but much of the time the AA formations will be fairly high-priority targets anyway, e.g. the ubiquitous SM formation of Tacs + SC + Hunter. This will change the priority somewhat but it will usually not represent a major shift in strategy or expenditure of points.
The Eldar Phoenixes don't need the template to compete in firepower. If enemy AA is too thick, the bombers can always hang back and use their ranged weapons. An oblique attack run and fighter status on the disengage move makes it pretty easy to avoid ground flak. At the worst case 45cm range, 6xAT4 is the same number of hits you're likely to get from the Voidspinner and allows the Phoenixes to stay out of ground AA while biding their time for a juicier target once the environment is more forgiving.
Eldar have crazy fast flak of their own that virtually always moves forward in the battlefield, providing a substantial AA umbrella. Between the range on the Phoenixes and the ubiquitous flak units on the Eldar side, it is easy for them to stay under the Eldar's own AA umbrella. Like the deepstrike considerations, you could make the case that these represent more points invested in making the Phoenixes work but that's pretty thin. Titans and Falcons/Firestorms are very common in Eldar armies without Phoenixes and Phoenixes taking advantage of them requires no changes in their use. It is synergistic and basically "free" in terms of points.
Winning the strategy roll allows the Phoenixes a non-CAPed bombing run, with the Eldar having the ability to move flak up afterward to gain the same protections against later Intercept actions. Even if they don't do so immediately, the need to get Intercepts in before the Eldar cover the bombers with flak changes the priority of activations for the enemy. There's some of that with any early activation as the enemy will be moving up to support/counterattack, but this aircraft/flak situation is more of an intense need than most on-ground situations.
And, of course, there is always the possibility that the opponent has made a strategic choice to go light on AA defense while there is no chance that the opponent has gone light on things that can kill ground units like the Voidspinner.
The Phoenixes may still not be worth 400 points, but I just don't believe it's a no-brainer.